Posted Feb 18, 2012 @ 12:44 AM
Maybe I'm just blinded by the fact that he's filling the Todd Herzog niche - flaming faux-strategist - but I actually think Colton's performance could go down as one of the best first episodes ever.
1. Anybody remember Borneo? Who did you think would be the first to go home? I thought it'd be the obnoxious guy, lecturing everybody from a tree while everybody formed the social bonds they needed in the game.
2. The hunks he's setting himself up as an outcast from constitute a minority of their tribe. Eventually, the other guys are going to figure out that 5 is more than 4. When Colton uses his idol to bounce one of the 4, even the dumbest of the other guys will realize that 5 is more than 3 and that Colton came to play. We haven't seen enough of Colton yet to know if he fills this niche, but remember how Heidik in Thailand and Mariano in RI thrived on their alpha status? Colton doesn't look like an alpha, but if the tribe splits into a discohesive four, plus four hunks, plus one Colton who's just Four Horsemen'd the four hunks, then why wouldn't the other four rally around him?
3. See above: dude has an idol.
4. Which he acquired by making friends with the women. Not just "the women", in fact, but the seeming power players of the women. It's not like he's going and sulking in a corner and not playing the game at all---if anything, his problem is that he spent the first episode trying to set up his post-merge game.
5. Remember when Chris Daugherty was in a similar situation to Colton's---the least-fit guy on a tribe made up half of hunky mactors and half of out-of-shape schlubs? Chris made the brilliant move that Colton may have to make in rallying the out-of-shape schlubs around his leadership. And when did Chris do that? The moment it became clear - and not one moment earlier - that, unless he did that, he'd be the one to go home.
Which is to say, let's say the men dominate the challenges and they don't have to vote anyone off until Day 12. If the flaming little pear-shaped dude spent that whole twelve days desperately scrambling, everyone would be sick of him by that time. But if he makes his big moves strategically, he'll be fine.
I don't necessarily like Colton - his attempts at manipulation are too blatant, and really, who's in the "I love you" place after a day and a half? - but I do think that a lot of the moves that look bad now will, if he wins, be held up as evidence of his strategic mastery. And from what we've seen so far, I can't think of a likelier winner.